Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 3.874311 4.137473 4.417925 4.740488 5.103060 5.500173 5.970992
2025-09-14 3.358629 3.709250 4.104494 4.588243 5.171744 5.862878 6.759284
2025-09-21 3.059211 3.452100 3.911543 4.498117 5.241946 6.175892 7.476301
2025-09-28 2.857231 3.277498 3.783079 4.450560 5.332428 6.496099 8.222509
2025-10-05 2.715443 3.158369 3.704275 4.446445 5.463833 6.869814 9.088457
2025-10-12 2.632057 3.102050 3.694957 4.524560 5.704832 7.416238 10.304483
2025-10-19 2.554549 3.045488 3.677616 4.585202 5.921223 7.948863 11.607131
2025-10-26 2.468433 2.970829 3.628798 4.594308 6.058115 8.371736 12.813737
2025-11-02 2.364058 2.865358 3.530312 4.522376 6.061144 8.572856 13.649032
2025-11-09 2.256710 2.750220 3.411361 4.410664 5.989091 8.633892 14.214363
2025-11-16 2.173815 2.664213 3.327990 4.345087 5.982974 8.806359 15.057538
2025-11-23 2.127218 2.625449 3.308549 4.373446 6.131252 9.275907 16.709767
2025-11-30 2.073390 2.576060 3.273728 4.379546 6.249671 9.722352 18.517351
2025-12-07 1.982969 2.472104 3.155270 4.247464 6.118205 9.662070 18.987551
2025-12-14 1.913748 2.395420 3.073201 4.167988 6.072169 9.768616 19.976567
2025-12-21 1.859813 2.338223 3.016979 4.125950 6.088368 10.005877 21.461658
2025-12-28 1.819688 2.299169 2.985792 4.122310 6.173857 10.406200 23.684276
2026-01-04 1.800705 2.289698 2.998356 4.191356 6.402121 11.170730 27.721280
2026-01-11 1.778882 2.275033 3.001939 4.244896 6.605649 11.921770 32.408951
2026-01-18 1.747475 2.244987 2.980161 4.252931 6.718793 12.473130 36.804556
2026-01-25 1.701318 2.191530 2.919601 4.189428 6.679219 12.618119 39.285007
2026-02-01 1.649446 2.128134 2.841275 4.090654 6.558334 12.524758 40.364428
2026-02-08 1.609106 2.080994 2.787180 4.032586 6.519256 12.655062 43.043876